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Bruce G. Marcot
updated 22 September 2017
photos and stories of Alaska ... from my Ecology Picture of the Week (EPOW) -- a growing collection
Effects of Climate Change on Arctic
and Subarctic Ecosystems and Wildlife ----------------------
Shasby, M. B., C. A. Dolloff, J. A. Hicke, B. G. Marcot, B. McCarl, G. McMahon, and J. M. Morton. 2017. Five-year external reviews of the eight Department of Interior Climate Science Centers: Alaska Climate Science Center. American Fisheries Society. Bethesda, Maryland. 46 pp. PDF (6.8MB)
Vizcarra, N., and B. Marcot. 2016. Big changes in cold places: the future of wildlife habitat in northwest Alaska. Science Findings (USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station) 186:1-5. Available here.
Marcot, B. G., M. T. Jorgenson, J. Lawler, C. M. Handel, and A. R. DeGange. 2015. Projected changes in wildlife habitats in Arctic natural areas of northwest Alaska. Climatic Change 130(2):145-154. PDF (1MB). With Supplementary Material PDF (0.5MB)
Media release from the U.S. Forest Service. News articles about the research in Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 13(4):182; on The Wildlife Society web site; in Alaska Dispatch News (Anchorage).
Jorgenson, M. T., B. G. Marcot, D. K. Swanson, J. C. Jorgenson, and A. R. DeGange. 2015. Projected changes in diverse ecosystems from climate warming and biophysical drivers in northwest Alaska. Climatic Change 130(2):131-144. PDF (1MB)
DeGange, A. R., B. G. Marcot, J. Lawler, T. Jorgenson, and R. Winfree. 2014. Predicting the effects of climate change on ecosystems and wildlife habitat in northwest Alaska: results of the WildCast project. Alaska Park Science 12(2):66-73. PDF (2.5MB)
Marcot, B. G., M. T. Jorgenson, and A. R. DeGange. 2014. Low-altitude photographic transects of the Arctic Network of national park units and Selawik National Wildlife Refuge, Alaska, July 2013. USGS Data Series 846. http://dx.doi.org/10.3133/ds846. Anchorage, AK. 44 pp. PDF (10MB)
Also see: USGS Photographic Transect Data; and 11-17 August 2014 Ecology Picture of the Week
Marcot, B. G. 2010. Modeling approaches for predicting change under WILDCAST: making progress in a data-poor world. Alaska Park Science 8(2):90-94. PDF (1.3MB)
Wildlife and Conservation Biology in Alaska ----------------------
Fortin, J. K., K. D. Rode, G. V. Hilderbrand, J. Wilder, S. Farley, C. Jorgensen, and B. G. Marcot. 2016. The impacts of human recreation on brown bears (Ursus arctos): a review and new management tool. PLoS ONE 11(1):e0141983. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0141983. PDF (1MB)
Marcot, B. G. 2013. Concepts of conservation biology applied to wildlife in old-forest ecosystems, with special reference to southeast Alaska and north coastal British Columbia. Pp.168-188 in: G. Orians and J. W. Schoen, eds. North Pacific temperate rainforests ecology and conservation. University of Washington, Seattle WA PDF (5.6MB)
Marcot, B. G., and M. G. Raphael. 2012. Conservation of martens, sables, and fishers in multispecies bioregional assessments. Pp. 451-470 in: K. B. Aubry, W. J. Zielinski, M. G. Raphael, G. Proulx, and S. W. Buskirk, eds. Biology and conservation of martens, sables, and fishers: a new synthesis. Cornell University Press, Ithaca, New York. [Includes reference to mustelids in Alaska.] PDF (5.6MB)
Marcot, B. G., and J. B. Nyberg. 2005. The future of forest biodiversity conservation amidst development: reflection and vision. International Forestry Review 7(5):21.
Effects of Climate Change on Pacific Walrus* --------------------
Jay, C. V., B. G. Marcot, and D. C. Douglas. 2011. Projected status of the Pacific walrus (Odobenus rosmarus divergens) in the 21st century. Polar Biology 34(7):1065-1084. Polar Biology 34(7):(on line). PDF (1.7MB)
> With online resource (supplementary material) PDF (240KB)
Jay, C. V., B. G. Marcot, and D. C. Douglas. 2010. Projected status of the Pacific walrus (Odobenus rosmarus divergens) in the 21st century Administrative Report Submitted to the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. US Geological Survey, Anchorage, Alaska. 90 pp.
Huntington, H., G. Noongwook, C. Jay, B. Marcot, and C. Pungowiyi. 2009. Bering Sea Project, local and traditional knowledge component, Savoonga LTK notes. Report to the Bering Sea Project, 18 September 2009. 18 pp. PDF (1MB)
Effects of Climate Change on Polar Bears* ------------------------
Atwood, T. C., B. G. Marcot, D. C. Douglas, S. C. Amstrup, K. D. Rode, G. M. Durner, and J. F. Bromaghin. 2016. Forecasting the relative influence of anthropogenic stressors on polar bears. Ecosphere 7(6):DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.1370. PDF (3.6MB)
Atwood, T. C., B. G. Marcot, D. C. Douglas, S. C. Amstrup, K. D. Rode, G. M. Durner, and J. F. Bromaghin. 2015. Evaluating and ranking threats to the long-term persistence of polar bears. U.S. Geological Survey, Open-File Report 2014-1254. http://dx.doi.org/10.3133/ofr20141254. Anchorage, Alaska. 114 pp. PDF (8MB)
> Also available from http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2014/1254/
Amstrup, S. C., E. T. DeWeaver, D. C. Douglas, B. G. Marcot, G. M. Dumer, C. M. Bitz, and D. A. Bailey. 2010. Greenhouse gas mitigation can reduce sea-ice loss and increase polar bear persistence. Nature 468(7326):955-958. PDF (1.5MB)
> With online resource (supplementary material) PDF (2.5MB)
Amstrup, S. C., H. Caswell, E. DeWeaver, I. Stirling, D. C. Douglas, B. G. Marcot, and C. M. Hunter. 2009. Rebuttal of "polar bear population forecasts: a public-policy forecasting audit". Interfaces 39(4):353-369. PDF (235KB)
Amstrup, S. C., B. G. Marcot, and D. C. Douglas. 2008. A Bayesian network modeling approach to forecasting the 21st century worldwide status of polar bears. Pp. 213-268 in: E. T. DeWeaver, C. M. Bitz, and L.-B. Tremblay, eds. Arctic sea ice decline: observations, projections, mechanisms, and implications. Geophysical Monograph 180. American Geophysical Union, Washington, D.C. PDF (4.4MB)
Amstrup, S. C., B. G. Marcot, and D. C. Douglas. 2008. Forecasting the range-wide status of polar bears at selected times in the 21st century: addition of model outcomes for the decade 2020-2029. Administrative Report. US Geological Survey, Anchorage, Alaska. 6 pp.
Amstrup, S. C., B. G. Marcot, and D. C. Douglas. 2007. Forecasting the range-wide status of polar bears at selected times in the 21st century. Administrative Report. US Geological Survey, Anchorage, Alaska. 126 pp. PDF (4.4MB, low-res)
Also available from: http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/33235 PDF (20.8MB, high-res)
*Some items also listed on Bayesian Network Models in Ecology page.
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